Opportunity ID: 290584

General Information

Document Type: Grants Notice
Funding Opportunity Number: F17AS00061
Funding Opportunity Title: Western Monarch Population Viability Analysis
Opportunity Category: Discretionary
Opportunity Category Explanation:
Funding Instrument Type: Cooperative Agreement
Category of Funding Activity: Natural Resources
Category Explanation:
Expected Number of Awards: 1
Assistance Listings: 15.658 — Natural Resource Damage Assessment, Restoration and Implementation
Cost Sharing or Matching Requirement: No
Version: Synopsis 1
Posted Date: Dec 09, 2016
Last Updated Date:
Original Closing Date for Applications: Dec 16, 2016 This is a Notification of Intent to award a Single Source CESU award. The recipient has already been selected.
Current Closing Date for Applications: Dec 16, 2016 This is a Notification of Intent to award a Single Source CESU award. The recipient has already been selected.
Archive Date: Dec 17, 2016
Estimated Total Program Funding: $47,500
Award Ceiling: $47,500
Award Floor: $47,500

Eligibility

Eligible Applicants: Public and State controlled institutions of higher education
Additional Information on Eligibility:

Additional Information

Agency Name: Fish and Wildlife Service
Description: Monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus plexippus L. Lepidoptera: Danainae) across North America are in decline. Recent studies, largely based on trends in monarch overwintering abundance in Mexico and coastal California, indicate that over the past two decades populations across eastern North American have declined by as much as 80% and populations in the west have declined by more than 70% (Pelton et al. 2016; Semmens et al. 2016). Analyses by Semmens et al (2016) predict a quasi-extinction probability for eastern monarchs of 3â¿¿42% over 10 years and 16â¿¿62% over 20 years, and a need to increase the population five-fold to halve the extinction risk. No similar analyses have been conducted for monarchs in the west.
Washington State University (Recipient) will conduct a parallel population viability analysis for western monarchs, modified based on current knowledge and structure of the overwintering population in coastal California. As a preliminary evaluation of trend, we estimated the rate of change through time using multivariate autoregressive state space models (following the analysis used by Semmens et al 2016). Our preliminary analysis of western monarchs was based on Western Monarch Thanksgiving Count data from 1997-2014. The estimated population growth rate of western monarchs in this analysis was u = -0.077 (roughly equivalent to λ = 0.93). For comparison, Semmens et al⿿s (2016) estimated population growth rate for eastern monarchs is u = -0.061 (extended data Table 2, roughly equivalent to λ = 0.94).
The Recipient will conduct additional analyses in order to: 1) provide a robust estimate of the probability of quasi-extinction for western monarchs over the next 20 years, and 2) estimate the magnitude of change in population size needed to halve the extinction risk for the western monarch. In addition, we will explore ways to extend the model to include covariates that 3) estimate changes in population trend over time to investigate if the rate of change over the last 20 years has been constant or not, and 4) assess the influence of co-variates such as drought and pesticides on extinction risk for western monarchs. These analyses will help guide assessment of the status of western monarchs and direct future priorities for research and conservation.

This award is entered into under the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service’s CFDA 15.658 under the authority of Fish and Wildlife Coordination Act of 1958, 16 U.S.C.661; Land and Water Conservation Fund Act of 1965, as amended (16 U.S.C. 4601-4 through 11).

Link to Additional Information: http://www.grants.gov
Grantor Contact Information: If you have difficulty accessing the full announcement electronically, please contact:

Grants Management Specialist Patrick Schulze 503 736-4471
patrick_schulze@fws.gov

Email:patrick_schulze@fws.gov

Version History

Version Modification Description Updated Date

Folder 290584 Full Announcement-NOFO -> Notice of Funding Opportunity FY16.pdf

Folder 290584 Full Announcement-NOFO -> Form 32452 Single Source WSU Monarch PVA (1).pdf

Packages

Agency Contact Information: Grants Management Specialist Patrick Schulze 503 736-4471
patrick_schulze@fws.gov

Email: patrick_schulze@fws.gov

Who Can Apply: Organization Applicants

Assistance Listing Number Competition ID Competition Title Opportunity Package ID Opening Date Closing Date Actions
15.658 PKG00229676 Dec 09, 2016 Dec 16, 2016 View

Package 1

Mandatory forms

290584 SF424_2_1-2.1.pdf

290584 SF424B-1.1.pdf

290584 SF424A-1.0.pdf

290584 ProjectNarrativeAttachments_1_2-1.2.pdf

Optional forms

290584 AttachmentForm_1_2-1.2.pdf

290584 SFLLL_1_2-1.2.pdf

2025-07-09T10:40:21-05:00

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